Effect of Systematic Graded Rewarming Pattern on All-Cause Mortality of Hypothermic Trauma Patients in Different Time Periods / 中国医学科学院学报

Objective To investigate the effect of systematic graded rewarming pattern on all-cause mortality of hypothermic trauma patients in different time periods. Methods A prospective case-control study was carried out for 236 hypothermic trauma patients with modified trauma score<12 in the Emergency Department of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University from January 2020 to December 2021.The patients were randomly assigned into a systematic graded rewarming group (n=118) and a traditional rewarming group (n=118).The main outcome event was all-cause death within 15 days after trauma,and the secondary outcome event was all-cause death within 3,7,and 30 days after trauma. Results Overall,13.98%(33/236) and 14.83%(35/236) of the patients died within 15 and 30 days after trauma,respectively,and the median survival time of all dead patients was 6 (4,10) days.The systematic graded rewarming group had higher temperature after rewarming for 2 h (P=0.001) and larger temperature change after rewarming intervention (P=0.047) than the traditional rewarming group.The all-cause mortality within 15 days (27.3%vs.72.7%,P=0.005) and 30 days (25.7%vs.74.3%,P=0.002) in the systematic graded rewarming group was lower than that in the traditional rewarming group.Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the survival time of the patients in the systematic graded rewarming group was longer than that in the traditional rewarming group (P=0.003).Multivariate cox regression analysis indicated that systematic graded rewarming was a strong protective factor for survival time after trauma (HR=0.450, P=0.042).Further Logistic regression analysis for the occurrence of all-cause death in each time period showed that the OR of systematic graded rewarming pattern to all-cause death within 15 days and 30 days after trauma were 0.289 and 0.286,respectively,after adjusting the covariates(P=0.008,P=0.005).The temperature after rewarming for 2 h had a negative correlation with all-cause mortality within 30 days after trauma (OR=0.670, P=0.049). Conclusions Systematic graded rewarming is a protective factor for the survival time of patients with traumatic hypothermia and an independent factor affecting the risk of all-cause death within 15 days and 30 days after trauma.The temperature after rewarming for 2 h is expected to be an independent predictor of all-cause mortality of 30 days after trauma in the patients with hypothermia.The systematic graded rewarming pattern could reduce the mortality of hypothermic trauma patients.

Hospitalization, mortality and public healthcare expenditure in Brazil during the COVID-19 crisis: vulnerabilities in the spotlight

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: Multiple opinion-based communications have highlighted the actions of the Brazilian government during the pandemic. Nevertheless, none have appraised public data to identify factors associated with worsening of the healthcare system. OBJECTIVE: To analyze and collate data from public health and treasury information systems in order to understand the escalating process of weakening of Brazilian healthcare and welfare since the beginning of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic. DESIGN AND SETTING: Secondary data study conducted using multiple public databases administered by the Brazilian federal government. METHODS: We processed information from multiple national databases and appraised health and economic-related data. RESULTS: Based on our analyses, there were substantial reductions in inpatient hospital admissions and in the numbers of patients seeking primary care services, along with a decrease in immunization coverage. Moreover, we observed a considerable decline in government transfers to hospital services (reduction of 82.0%) and a diminution of public outlays in several healthcare-related subfunctions ("hospital and outpatient care", "primary care", "prophylactic and therapeutic support" and "epidemiological surveillance"). We observed an increase in the overall mortality rate over the period analyzed, especially regarding all group-based diseases. Notably, there were remarkable differences among geographic, racial, gender and other parameters, thus revealing the impact of vulnerabilities on COVID-19 outcomes. CONCLUSION: This assessment of documentation of public expenditure and the shrinkage of investment in sensitive areas of the healthcare system in Brazil emphasized areas that still require collective attention in order to guarantee national welfare.

Hemoglobin and all-cause mortality in China elderly population with varying degree of body mass index: Analysis of CLHLS data / 中华内分泌代谢杂志

To explore the association between hemoglobin and all-cause mortality in China elderly population varying level of body mass index. The data were from Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey 2008 to 2018. A total of 1 449 elderly participants were included with 247 lost to follow-up. According to the hemoglobin levels, the participants were divided into three groups: low hemoglobin group (male<120 g/L, female<110 g/L), normal hemoglobin group (120 g/L≤male<160 g/L, 110 g/L≤female<150 g/L), and high hemoglobin group (male≥160 g/L, female≥150 g/L). According to the BMI levels, the data was divided into three groups: overweight or obesity(BMI≥25 kg/m 2), normal weight(18.5 kg/m 2≤BMI<25 kg/m 2), and malnutrition (BMI<18.5 kg/m 2). Differences of association between hemoglobin and mortality were analyzed. In this dataset, the constituent ratio of anemia was 23.1%(334/1 449), and malnutrition was 26.6%(385/1 449). During the follow-up, a total of 778 participants died. Among whom, 233 cases(77.2%) were in the low hemoglobin group and 87 cases (55.4%) in the high hemoglobin group. In the BMI subgroup analysis, the people combined malnutrition and anemia had the highest cumulative mortality rate (79.1%), and the people with overweight and higher hemoglobin had a lower cumulative mortality rate (46.2%). In people with low BMI, increase in hemoglobin by one category reduced the risk of death by 0.572 (95% CI 0.446-0.734, P<0.001). In people with normal BMI, improvement in hemoglobin by one category reduced the risk of death by 0.717(95% CI 0.620-0.829, P<0.001). The reduction of hemoglobin levels increases the risk of all-cause mortality rate. And this correlation is particularly prominent in the population with low BMI.

The relationship between cumulative fasting blood glucose exposure and all-cause mortality / 中华内分泌代谢杂志

Objective:To investigate the relationship between cumulative fasting blood glucose(cumFPG)exposure and all-cause mortality.Methods:The prospective cohort study included 56 845 subjects of Kailuan Group who participated in physical examinations from 2006 to 2007, 2008 to 2009, and 2010 to 2011 with complete data and a median of 7.77 years of follow up. The end point event was all-cause mortality. The incidence of all-cause mortality was compared in various groups divided by four quartile of cumFPG. The Cox proportional hazards model and natural spline were used to analyze the effect of cumFPG on all-cause mortality.Results:During the average(7.77±1.05)years of follow-up, the incidence density of all-cause mortality was on the rise with the increase of cumFPG(4.93, 5.87, 8.48, and 14.02 per 1 000 person-years), with statistically significant difference by Log- rank test( P<0.001). Cox proportional hazards model showed that after adjusting for potential confounding factors(age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, baseline fasting plasma glucose), the HR value(95% CI)of all-cause mortality in the fourth quartile group was 1.28(1.15-1.42)compared to the first quartile. When cumFPG increased every standard deviation, the risk of all-cause mortality increased by 17%. Natural spline analysis exhibited a similar J curve relationship between cumFPG and all-cause mortality. Conclusion:High cumFPG is a risk factor of all-cause mortality.

Progress on epidemiologic studies of the association between socioeconomic status and all-cause mortality / 预防医学

Abstract@#Socioeconomic status is an important factor affecting all-cause mortality. Income, education and occupation alone or in combination have been employed as a measure of socioeconomic status; however, the study results vary in measures. Material mechanism, lifestyle mechanism, psychological mechanism and community neighborhood mechanism have been accepted as the main intermediate mechanisms for the impact of socioeconomic status on all-cause mortality; however, the contribution of these mechanisms remains controversial. Based on the international and national publications pertaining to the association between socioeconomic status and all-cause mortality from 2012 to 2021, this review summarizes the relationship between socioeconomic status and all-cause mortality in different metrics and the intermediate mechanism of the impact of socioeconomic status on all-cause mortality, so as to provide insights for further studies.

Renin-angiotensin system inhibitor is associated with the reduced risk of all-cause mortality in COVID-19 among patients with/without hypertension / 医学前沿

Consecutively hospitalized patients with confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China were retrospectively enrolled from January 2020 to March 2020 to investigate the association between the use of renin-angiotensin system inhibitor (RAS-I) and the outcome of this disease. Associations between the use of RAS-I (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB)), ACEI, and ARB and in-hospital mortality were analyzed using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models in overall and subgroup of hypertension status. A total of 2771 patients with COVID-19 were included, with moderate and severe cases accounting for 45.0% and 36.5%, respectively. A total of 195 (7.0%) patients died. RAS-I (hazard ratio (HR)= 0.499, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.325-0.767) and ARB (HR = 0.410, 95% CI 0.240-0.700) use was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality among patients with COVID-19. For patients with hypertension, RAS-I and ARB applications were also associated with a reduced risk of mortality with HR of 0.352 (95% CI 0.162-0.764) and 0.279 (95% CI 0.115-0.677), respectively. RAS-I exhibited protective effects on the survival outcome of COVID-19. ARB use was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality among patients with COVID-19.

The novel fibrosis index at diagnosis may predict all-cause mortality in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis without substantial liver diseases

OBJECTIVES: Antineutrophil cyto plasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV) is a fatal disease. Currently, predictors of mortality due to AAV are based on the distribution of organ involvement. The novel fibrosis index (NFI) is an index composed of laboratory results that reflect the degree of liver fibrosis. This study aimed to evaluate whether NFI can predict poor outcomes in patients with AAV without substantial liver disease. METHODS: A total of 210 patients with immunosuppressive drug-naïve AAV were retrospectively reviewed. NFI was calculated as follows: NFI=(serum bilirubin × (alkaline phosphatase)2)/(platelet count×(serum albumin)2). NFI cut-off was set at 1.24 (the highest quartile). Poor outcomes were defined as all-cause mortality, relapse, and end-stage renal disease (ESRD). RESULTS: During the median 34.5 months of follow-up, 21 patients (10%) died, 72 patients (34.3%) relapsed, and 38 patients (18.1%) had ESRD due to AAV progression. The median calculated NFI was 0.61, and it was higher in AAV patients with all-cause mortality than in those without mortality, but the difference was not statistically significant (1.26 vs. 0.59). AAV patients with NFI at diagnosis ≥1.24 exhibited a significantly lower cumulative patient survival rate than those with NFI at diagnosis <1.24 (p=0.002). Multivariate Cox hazard model analysis showed that NFI at diagnosis ≥1.24 was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in AAV (hazard ratios [HR] 2.850, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.026, 7.910). CONCLUSIONS: NFI ≥1.24, which may be an independent predictive marker for all-cause mortality in AAV patients without substantial liver disease.

Geriatric nutritional risk index predicts all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES: Geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) might predict the all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure (HF). We performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the correlation between GNRI and all-cause mortality in patients with HF. METHODS: We searched the PubMed, Medline, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases for clinical trials investigating the association between GNRI and all-cause mortality in patients with HF, having the primary endpoint as all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In total, nine studies involving 7,659 subjects were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis. The results indicated that major risk and moderate risk GNRI (GNRI<92) was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in elderly patients with HF (hazard ratios [HR] 1.59, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.37-1.85). Low risk GNRI (GNRI<98) group predicted all-cause mortality in elderly HF patients (HR 1.56, 95%CI 1.12-2.18) when compared with the high GNRI value group. A subgroup analysis indicated that the relationship between GNRI and HF might differ based on the subtype of heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: GNRI is a simple and well-established nutritional assessment tool to predict all-cause mortality in patients with HF.

Value of abnormal circadian rhythm of heart rate predicting the all-cause mortality in stage 5 chronic kidney disease patients / 中华肾脏病杂志

Objective:To investigate the predictive value of abnormal heart rate circadian rhythm for all-cause mortality in stage 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD 5) patients.Methods:The retrospective study was performed in CKD 5 patients enrolled from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (Jiangsu Province Hospital) and the Affiliated BenQ Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from February, 2011 to December, 2019. A total of 159 healthy volunteers were enrolled as the healthy control group during the same period. The circadian rhythm of heart rate was monitored by 24-hour Holter. Related indices (including 24-hour, daytime and nighttime mean heart rate, night/day heart rate ratio, 24-hour maximum heart rate, 24-hour minimum heart rate and difference between maximum and minimum of 24-hour heart rate) were calculated. Non-dipping heart rate was defined as night/day heart rate ratio greater than 0.9. Cox regression model was used to analyze the risk factors of all-cause mortality in CKD 5 patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Log-rank test were used to compare the differences of cumulative mortality between high ratio group (night/day heart rate ratio>0.91) and low ratio group (night/day heart rate ratio≤0.91). The nonlinear relationship between night/day heart rate ratio and all-cause mortality was analyzed by restricted cubic spline plot. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive value of night/day heart rate ratio for all-cause mortality in CKD 5 patients.Results:A total of 159 healthy volunteers and 221 CKD 5 patients were included in this study. There were 123 males (55.66%) and the age was (52.72±13.13) years old in CKD 5 patients. The total median follow-up time was 50.0 months. Compared with controls, 24-hour, nighttime mean heart rate, 24-hour minimum heart rate in CKD 5 patients were increased (all P<0.05), furthermore, the night/day heart rate ratio was higher [(0.91±0.09) vs (0.81±0.08), P<0.001], showing "non-dipping heart rate". However, the 24-hour maximum heart rate and the difference between maximum and minimum of 24-hour heart rate in CKD 5 patients were lower than controls (both P<0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the increased night/day heart rate ratio (per 0.1 increase, HR=1.557, 95% CI 1.073-2.258, P=0.020) was an independent influencing factor for all-cause mortality in CKD 5 patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that the cumulative mortality of the high ratio group was significantly increased than that of the low ratio group (Log-rank test χ 2=7.232, P=0.007). From the restricted cubic spline plot, there was a linear effect between night/day heart rate ratio and all-cause mortality ( P=0.141), and when night/day heart rate ratio was above 0.91, the risk of all-cause mortality was significantly increased in CKD 5 patients. According to time-dependent ROC curve, the accuracy of night/day heart rate ratio in predicting all-cause mortality was 70.90% even when the survival time was up to 70.0 months. Conclusions:The circadian rhythm of heart rate in CKD 5 patients displays "non-dipping" state. High night/day heart rate ratio is an independent influencing factor for all-cause mortality in CKD 5 patients.

Abdominal Obesity and Its Attribution to All-cause Mortality in the General Population with 14 Years Follow-up: Findings from Shanxi Cohort in China / 生物医学与环境科学（英文）

Objective@#This study aimed to assess the association of waist circumference (WC) with all-cause mortality among Chinese adults.@*Methods@#The baseline data were from Shanxi Province of 2002 China Nutrition and Health Survey. The death investigation and follow-up visit were conducted from December 2015 to March 2016. The visits covered up to 5,360 of 7,007 participants, representing a response rate of 76.5%. The Cox regression model and floating absolute risk were used to estimate hazard ratio and 95% floating of death by gender and age groups (≥ 60 and < 60 years old). Sensitivity analysis was performed by excluding current smokers; participants with stroke, hypertension, and diabetes; participants who accidentally died; and participants who died during the first 2 years of follow-up.@*Results@#This study followed 67,129 person-years for 12.5 years on average, including 615 deaths. The mortality density was 916 per 100,000 person-years. Low WC was associated with all-cause mortality among men. Multifactor-adjusted hazard ratios ( ) were 1.60 (1.35-1.90) for WC < 75.0 cm and 1.40 (1.11-1.76) for WC ranging from 75.0 cm to 79.9 cm. Low WC (< 70.0 cm and 70.0-74.9 cm) and high WC (≥ 95.0 cm) groups had a high risk of mortality among women. The adjusted s of death were 1.43 (1.11-1.83), 1.39 (1.05-1.84), and 1.91 (1.13-3.22).@*Conclusion@#WC was an important predictor of death independent of body mass index (BMI). WC should be used as a simple rapid screening and predictive indicator of the risk of death.

Effects of estimated glomerular filtration rate on all-cause mortality in the elderly aged 65 years and older in 8 longevity areas in China / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective@#To investigate the association between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and all-cause mortality in the elderly aged 65 years and older in longevity areas in China.@*Methods@#Data used in this study were obtained from Healthy Aging and Biomarkers Cohort Study, a sub-cohort of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey, 1 802 elderly adults were collected in the study during 2012-2017/2018. In this study, the elderly were classified into 4 groups, moderate-to-severe group [<45 ml·min-1·(1.73 m2)-1], mild-to-moderate group [45- ml·min-1·(1.73 m2)-1], mild group [60- ml·min-1·(1.73 m2)-1] and normal group [≥90 ml·min-1·(1.73 m2)-1] according to their eGFR levels.@*Results@#After 6 years of follow-up, 852 participants died, with a mortality rate of 47.3%. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the levels of eGFR were negatively correlated with all-cause mortality risk in the elderly (the HR of elderly was 0.993 and the 95%CI was 0.989-0.997 for every unit of eGFR increased, P=0.001), while compared with the group with normal eGFR, the HRs (95%CI) of the elderly in the moderate-to-severe group, mild-to-moderate group, and mild group were 1.690 (1.224-2.332, P=0.001), 1.312 (0.978-1.758, P=0.070), 1.349 (1.047-1.737, P=0.020) respectively [trend test P<0.001].@*Conclusion@#The decrease in eGFR was associated with higher mortality risk among the elderly in longevity areas in China.

Effects of estimated glomerular filtration rate on all-cause mortality in the elderly aged 65 years and older in 8 longevity areas in China / 中华流行病学杂志

To investigate the association between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and all-cause mortality in the elderly aged 65 years and older in longevity areas in China. Data used in this study were obtained from Healthy Aging and Biomarkers Cohort Study, a sub-cohort of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey, 1 802 elderly adults were collected in the study during 2012-2017/2018. In this study, the elderly were classified into 4 groups, moderate-to-severe group [<45 ml·min(-1)·(1.73 m(2))(-1)], mild-to-moderate group [45- ml·min(-1)·(1.73 m(2))(-1)], mild group [60- ml·min(-1)·(1.73 m(2))(-1)] and normal group [≥90 ml·min(-1)·(1.73 m(2))(-1)] according to their eGFR levels. After 6 years of follow-up, 852 participants died, with a mortality rate of 47.3. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the levels of eGFR were negatively correlated with all-cause mortality risk in the elderly (the of elderly was 0.993 and the 95 was 0.989-0.997 for every unit of eGFR increased, =0.001), while compared with the group with normal eGFR, the (95) of the elderly in the moderate-to-severe group, mild-to-moderate group, and mild group were 1.690 (1.224-2.332, =0.001), 1.312 (0.978-1.758, =0.070), 1.349 (1.047-1.737, =0.020) respectively [trend test <0.001]. The decrease in eGFR was associated with higher mortality risk among the elderly in longevity areas in China.

Body mass index and related attribution to all-cause mortality in adults of Family Cohort of Nutrition and Chronic Diseases in Shanxi province / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective@#To assess the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and mortality in adults of Shanxi, China.@*Methods@#Baseline data were from the '2002 China Nutrition and Health Survey’ in Shanxi province. All the death-related investigation and follow-up visits were carried out from December 2015 to March 2016. The follow-up program covered 5 360 people from all the 7 007 participants aged 18 years and over that having complete core information, with a rate as 76.5%. Participants of this study were divided into eight groups, according to the appearance of BMI. Taking the group with the lowest mortality density as the reference group, Cox regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of deaths by the whole population, gender and age groups (≥60 years, <60 years). Results were then adjusted by age, gender, smoking, alcohol use and education level from the baseline survey. Sensitivity analysis was also conducted.@*Results@#Results from the study showed that among the total number of 67 129 person- years from the average period of 12.5 years, there were 615 deaths occurred, with the mortality density as 916 per 100 000 person-years. Taking the BMI range of 26.0-27.9 kg/m2 as the reference, the aHRs of death increased to 1.90 (95%CI: 1.26-2.86), 1.68 (95%CI: 1.15-2.45), 1.49 (95%CI: 1.08-2.06) and 1.72 (95%CI: 1.07-2.76) after the multivariate adjustment, in these four groups (BMI<18.5, 18.5-19.9, 22.0-23.9 and ≥30.0 kg/m2), respectively. Low body weight (BMI<18.5 kg/m2) was associated with higher risks of death in the elderly of ≥60 years, with the aHR of death as 1.94 (95%CI: 1.20-3.15).@*Conclusions@#When BMI appeared as ≤19.9 kg/m2, 22.0-23.9 kg/m2 and ≥30.0 kg/m2, the risks of death would increase. In addition to programs that focusing on obesity, special attention should be paid to the high risk of mortality which was caused by low-weight and malnutrition in the elderly.

A prospective study on the influence of metabolic syndrome on the risks of cardiovascular disease events and all-cause mortality for urban residents aged 40-79 years in Guiyang / 中华内分泌代谢杂志

Objective@#To explore the influence of metabolic syndrome on the risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and all-cause mortality.@*Methods@#In this prospective cohort study, urban residents aged 40-79 years in Guiyang were followed-up for three years. The end-points were CVD events and all-cause mortality. COX proportional hazards model were used for the corresponding hazard ratios (HRs) of CVD events and all-cause mortality. Metabolic syndrome was defined according to the 2005 International Diabetes Federation (IDF) criteria.@*Results@#A total of 7 313 subjects were included. 146 cases of CVD events and 80 cases of all-cause mortality were recorded. After adjusting for gender, age, smoking, alcohol consumption, and blood lipid levels, the metabolic syndrome increased the risks of CVD events and all-cause mortality. The HRs were 1.43 (P=0.037) and 1.25 (P=0.418), respectively. As compared metabolic syndrome with non-metabolic syndrome, an increased risk of CVD events was found. The HR was 1.43 (P=0.013). No significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality was found in subjects with metabolic syndrome.@*Conclusion@#The metabolic syndrome was associated with increased risk of CVD events and there was no significant increase in all-cause mortality. Metabolic syndrome is an important risk factor for CVD events.

Effect of serum uric acid level on prognosis in maintenance hemodialysis patients / 中华肾脏病杂志

Objective@#To analyze the relationship between serum uric acid (SUA) level and clinical indicators in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients, and explore its influence on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality.@*Methods@#This study was a retrospective cohort study. Patients who received MHD from the blood purification center of the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from January 1, 2011 to December 30, 2015 were enrolled in the queue. They were divided into 3 groups according to the first and third quantile of the SUA level quartiles, and the baseline data of clinical and laboratory examinations were compared. The correlation between SUA level and clinical indicators was analyzed by Pearson correlation coefficient. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression model were used to examine the association between SUA and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in MHD patients.@*Results@#A total of 201 patients were enrolled in the study. The age of the patients was (56.9±16.7) years and the baseline SUA level was (531.1±137.9) μmol/L. Patients were divided into 3 groups with the first quantile (442 μmol/L) and the third quantile (620 μmol/L) of the SUA quartiles as the boundary points: group 1 (SUA<442 μmol/L, n=52), group 2 (SUA 442-620 μmol/L, n=101) and group 3 (SUA>620 μmol/L, n=48). The results showed that the patients in group 1 were older and had more proportion of patients with diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular diseases than those in group 3 (all P<0.05). Compared to group 3, the serum albumin, serum phosphorus and serum creatinine were lower in group 1, while the hypersensitive C-reactive protein was higher (all P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that SUA level was positively correlated with albumin (r=0.135, P=0.047), blood phosphorus (r=0.269, P<0.001) and serum creatinine (r=0.333, P<0.001), and negatively correlated with hypersensitive C-reactive protein (r=-0.216, P=0.002). After a median follow-up of 49.8 months, 66(32.8%) all-cause deaths and 32(15.9%) cardiovascular deaths were recorded. Kaplan-Meier method showed that with the decrease of SUA, all-cause mortality (Log-rank χ2=18.27, P<0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (Log-rank χ2=15.04, P=0.001) increased. After adjusting for age, gender, comorbidity and other factors using the Cox proportional hazards model, the all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality decreased by 20.1% (HR=0.799, 95% CI 0.651-0.980, P=0.031) and 29.6% (HR=0.704, 95% CI 0.524-0.946, P=0.020) for each 100 μmol/L increase in baseline SUA. Compared to group 1, all-cause mortality (HR=0.332, 95%CI 0.142-0.774, P=0.011) and cardiovascular mortality (HR=0.140, 95%CI 0.030-0.657, P=0.013) were lower in the group 3.@*Conclusion@#Low SUA level increases the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in MHD patients.

Effect of serum uric acid level on prognosis in maintenance hemodialysis patients / 中华肾脏病杂志

Objective To analyze the relationship between serum uric acid (SUA) level and clinical indicators in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients, and explore its influence on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. Methods This study was a retrospective cohort study. Patients who received MHD from the blood purification center of the Third Affiliated Hospital of SunYat-sen University from January 1, 2011 to December 30, 2015 were enrolled in the queue. They were divided into 3 groups according to the first and third quantile of the SUA level quartiles, and the baseline data of clinical and laboratory examinations were compared. The correlation between SUA level and clinical indicators was analyzed by Pearson correlation coefficient. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression model were used to examine the association between SUA and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in MHD patients. Results A total of 201 patients were enrolled in the study. The age of the patients was (56.9 ± 16.7) years and the baseline SUA level was (531.1±137.9)μmol/L. Patients were divided into 3 groups with the first quantile (442μmol/L) and the third quantile (620 μmol/L) of the SUA quartiles as the boundary points: group 1 (SUA<442 μmol/L, n=52), group 2 (SUA 442-620 μmol/L, n=101) and group 3 (SUA>620 μmol/L, n=48). The results showed that the patients in group 1 were older and had more proportion of patients with diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular diseases than those in group 3 (all P<0.05). Compared to group 3, the serum albumin, serum phosphorus and serum creatinine were lower in group 1, while the hypersensitive C-reactive protein was higher (all P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that SUA level was positively correlated with albumin (r=0.135, P=0.047), blood phosphorus (r=0.269, P<0.001) and serum creatinine (r=0.333, P<0.001), and negatively correlated with hypersensitive C-reactive protein (r=-0.216, P=0.002). After a median follow-up of 49.8 months, 66(32.8％) all-cause deaths and 32 (15.9％) cardiovascular deaths were recorded. Kaplan-Meier method showed that with the decrease of SUA, all-cause mortality (Log-rank χ2=18.27, P<0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (Log-rank χ2=15.04, P=0.001) increased. After adjusting for age, gender, comorbidity and other factors using the Cox proportional hazards model, the all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality decreased by 20.1％(HR=0.799, 95％CI 0.651-0.980, P=0.031) and 29.6％(HR=0.704, 95％CI 0.524-0.946, P=0.020) for each 100μmol/L increase in baseline SUA. Compared to group 1, all-cause mortality (HR=0.332, 95％CI 0.142-0.774, P=0.011) and cardiovascular mortality (HR=0.140, 95％CI 0.030-0.657, P=0.013) were lower in the group 3. Conclusion Low SUA level increases the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in MHD patients.

Aspirin for prevention of the venous thromboembolism: a meta-analysis / 中华全科医师杂志

Objective To systematically review the efficacy and safety of aspirin in prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) compared to LMWH,warfarin,rivaroxaban and placebo.Methods Randomized controlled trials (RCT) and cohort studies comparing aspirin to LMWH,warfarin,rivaroxaban and placebo for prevention of VTE were retrieved from PubMed,Embase,Cochrane Library,Scopus,Ovid,CINAHL and Wanfang Data.Meta-analysis was performed by using Rev Man 5.3 software after data extraction and quality evaluation.Results Totally 40 studies were included.There were no significant differences in overall rate of VTE(RR=1.08,95％CI:0.97-1.20,P=0.15),major bleeding incidence(RR=0.97,95％CI:0.81-1.16,P=0.73) and death (RR=0.86,95％CI:0.71-1.03,P=0.10)between aspirin and LMWH groups.Aspirin was associated with a lower risk of VTE(RR=0.49,95％CI:0.43-0.57,P＜0.05),major bleeding(RR=0.62,95％CI:0.46-0.84,P＜0.01)and death(RR=0.32,95％CI:0.15-0.64,P＜0.01)compared with warfarin.Rivaroxaban was associated with a significantly lower risk of deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) (RR=2.55,95％CI:1.41-4.62,P＜0.01),while no significant differences in pulmonary embolism (PE)(RR=1.86,95％CI:0.69-5.04,P=0.22),major bleeding(RR=0.90,95％CI:0.44-1.87,P=0.79)and death(RR=1.50,95％CI:0.60-3.74,P=0.39)compared with aspirin.Compared to placebo group aspirin significantly reduced the risk for VTE(RR=0.81,95％CI:0.72-0.90,P＜0.01),increased the frequency of major bleeding(RR=1.17,95％CI:1.06-1.30,P＜0.01),while there was no significant difference in death between aspirin and placebo (RR=0.97,95％CI:0.89-1.04,P=0.38).Conclusion Aspirin is not inferior to LMWH,warfarin,and rivaroxaban in safety and efficiency for preventing VTE,and can be used for VTE prevention for patients after total joint arthroplasty.

Risks and benefits of menopausal hormone therapy

Menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) was widely used to improve quality of life by controlling menopausal symptoms, including vasomotor symptoms and urogenital atrophy. Furthermore, observational studies consistently reported beneficial effects of MHT on late problems of menopause, such as osteoporosis, coronary heart disease (CHD), and possibly dementia. However, circumstances changed abruptly after the 2002 publication of the first findings from the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) study, which was conducted in postmenopausal women (average age, 63 years) using conventional doses of conjugated equine estrogen (CEE) and medroxyprogesterone acetate. CEE with medroxyprogesterone acetate increased the risk of breast cancer and did not prevent CHD. However, CEE alone showed a tendency to decrease the risk of both breast cancer and CHD, with significant differences between the two therapies. A subgroup analysis by age and years since menopause led to a timing hypothesis regarding the effects of MHT on CHD. Indeed, CEE alone in women aged 50 to 59 significantly reduced CHD risk by 35% after 13 years of follow-up. In 2015, a Cochrane meta-analysis of MHT trials reported a 48% reduction in CHD, no change in stroke, and most importantly, a 30% decrease in total mortality in women with less than 10 years since menopause. Long-term follow-up of WHI participants confirmed beneficial impacts of CEE on breast cancer incidence and mortality. Further, fracture reduction in women with osteopenia was observed during the intervention phase of the WHI study. If initiated early after menopause, MHT could again be considered to improve menopause-related quality of life and decrease all-cause mortality.

Influence of National Health Screening Program on All-Cause Mortality in Korea Analysis of the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging, 2006–2014

BACKGROUND: To investigate the impact of national health screening on all-cause mortality risk, aged over 45.METHODS: Data from Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging 2006–2014 were assessed. A total of 10,254 participants were included at baseline, and survival rate was assessed biennially. Using cox proportional hazards model, the effect of health screening on mortality risk was investigated. Covariates were gender, depression, education, marital status, co-habitants, house income, social engagement, economic satisfaction, private health insurance, residence location, chronic diseases, and health behaviors (smoking, alcohol intake, regular exercise).RESULTS: At baseline 2006, 54.4% of participants didn't undergo health screening. A hazard ratio (HR) for mortality risk of non-participants were 1.36 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21–1.53) after adjusting age and gender. Adding marital status and co-habitants to model 1 as covariates, HR was 1.34 (95% CI, 1.18–1.50) (model 2). Adding depression scores and socioeconomic vulnerabilities to model 2, HR was 1.29 s (95% CI, 1.14–1.45) (model 3). Adding chronic diseases to model 3, HR was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.14–1.48) (model 4). Finally, health behaviors have been added to model 4, HR was 1.24 (95% CI, 1.10–1.40) (model 5). In addition, the mortality risk increased as the cumulative number of missing health screenig increased accordingly.CONCLUSION: Health screening was an independent factor to reduce mortality risk. Therefore, active encouragement to participate the health screening should be implemented to reduce all-cause mortality.

The Association between the Apolipoprotein E Gene Polymorphism and All-cause Mortality in the Korean Population

BACKGROUND: Apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene polymorphism is associated with neurodegenerative and cardiovascular diseases. Although the effects of the gene differ by ethnic group, few studies have examined Asians. Therefore, the association between APOE polymorphism and mortality in Koreans was evaluated in this study. METHODS: This study population included participants from the Dong-gu and Namwon Studies. APOE genotypes were categorized as E2 (E2/E2 and E2/E3), E3 (E3/E3), and E4 (E3/E4 and E4/E4). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were constructed using the E3 allele as a reference. RESULTS: In the model adjusting for study site, age, gender, and lifestyle, the hazard ratio (HR) of mortality for those with the E4 allele was 1.08 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97–1.20), while that for those with the E2 allele was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.74–0.96). After adjusting for blood lipids to evaluate their mediating effects, the HRs of mortality for those with E4 and E2 alleles were 1.08 (95% CI, 0.97–1.20) and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.70–0.92), respectively. These associations were more evident in younger groups, with HRs of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.52–0.92) for the E2 allele and 1.25 (95% CI, 1.03–1.53) for the E4 allele. CONCLUSION: In two large population-based cohort studies, the E2 allele was associated with a lower risk of mortality compared with the E3 allele, whereas the E4 genotype was not associated with mortality in Koreans.